die belebende Bedenkung

HS2 and the ‘railfreight capacity deficit’

with 3 comments

In its ‘Demand and Capacity Pressures’ (DaCP) HS2 propaganda published in November 2015, the Department for Transport reported Network Rail’s claim that 58 or more extra freight paths might be needed each day on the West Coast Main Line by the year 2044.

DaCP (2015), WMCL freight paths needed

DaCP went on to say that Phase One ‘released capacity’ could “unlock 20 – 40” additional daily freight paths. But if ’58 additional freight paths or more’ were potentially needed by 2044, that would imply that HS2 was enabling 18 fewer paths than were actually required (assuming the freight uplift achieved was the high-end 40 paths per day estimate).

But could HS2 provide forty additional WCML daily freight paths? This highly implausible claim, for which no evidence was ever provided, was dropped for the April 2020 full business case, with the high-end estimated uplift restated as “20” paths. That would mean an overall provision a whopping 38 short of Network Rail’s 2044 potentially daily needed figure of 100 paths.

Written by beleben

July 22, 2021 at 9:25 pm

Posted in HS2

3 Responses

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  1. Please cast your expert eye over this:
    Seemingly, the WCML currently has about 40 unused freight paths a day, with more available if off-peak services are reduced. Fast passenger trains will always keep freight off the fast lines. Currently at Euston, peak freight hour coincides with peak passenger hour!


    July 24, 2021 at 4:37 pm

  2. Please cast your expert eye over this. It would be helpful to have your opinion.
    Politicians in the Midlands & North are concerned about the possible cancellation of the East Leg. (In an act of land speculation, Nottinghamshire County Council have paid £20 million for green belt adjacent to the proposed station at Toton.)
    Here the leader of Notts CC claims that rail freight has reduced by half over 15 years because of pinch points and that the railways are at capacity. Somehow HS2 will deliver 144 extra freight trains (paths?) a day. Care to comment?


    July 28, 2021 at 3:39 pm

  3. Is Leeds a “notorious bottleneck”? There seems to be a problem caused by north-south freight running through the city. Perhaps this could be diverted?


    August 22, 2021 at 4:20 pm

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