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Where to start with this nonsense?

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twitter, @JohnMorrisHello, 'Excellent analysis of 'HS2 tosh' from Paul Bigland. If you prefer facts to assertions when it comes to HS2, you might want to read this. It demolishes the rather quirky claims made by an eminent professor.'

Following his assertion that Professor Dieter Helm should go talk to (unnamed) rail ‘experts’, the ‘official photographer’ for the High Speed Rail Industry Leaders Group blogged a bizarre ‘analysis’ which claimed Prof Helm ‘has no idea that we spent £9 billion upgrading the West Coast Main Line just 12 years ago’.

HSRILG official photographer's blog, '£9 bn spent upgrading the West Coast Main Line'

Actually, it seems likely that the Professor would have no idea that ‘we spent £9 billion upgrading the West Coast Main Line just 12 years ago’, because it’s (obviously) not true.

As the Department for Transport acknowledged, ‘the West Coast renewal and modernisation programme comprised £2.5 billion of infrastructure upgrades‘ (not £9 billion) and ‘£6.5 billion of infrastructure renewals’.

Campaign for Better Transport, West Coast main line, 'Capacity has been increased by up to three times on key routes'

Just £2.5 billion of infrastructure enhancements made possible a big increase in passenger numbers and freight traffic.

DfT, 'the West Coast renewal and modernisation programme comprised £2.5 billion of infrastructure upgrades and £6.5 billion of infrastructure renewals'

The official photographer then provided a link to Network Rail’s tragic ‘New Lines Programme’ (which claimed that the West Coast Main Line will be ‘full by 2020’, ‘there are no further enhancements that can be made to the existing route that could meet future demand’, and ‘a [£34 billion] high-speed line to Scotland more than pays for itself’).

Network Rail, 'The case for new lines', 'no further enhancements can be made'

Despite having provided a link to Network Rail’s claim that ‘there are no further enhancements that can be made to the existing route that could meet future demand’, the official photographer asserted that ‘No-one has claimed that existing lines can’t be upgraded’. Yes, they have. Network Rail have, as in, “there are no further enhancements that can be made to the existing route that could meet future demand”.

HSRILG official photographer, 'analysing' Roade trains

The official photographer also provided ‘a copy of actual train workings’ between ’07:00 and 08:00′ from ‘real time trains’ for Roade, ‘which is on the two track section of the West Coast Main line South of Rugby’. But inspection of the ‘copy of actual train workings’ revealed it showed trains using four tracks at Roade, not two, and over a time period of more than 60 minutes.

What this straw man nonsense was supposed to prove, is anyone’s guess. Obviously, the West Coast Main Line south of Rugby at 8am is not representative of Britain’s main line railways in terms of its capacity utilisation. What Professor Helm said about railway capacity and upgrading was, in essence, correct.

IMechE railway capacity report, 'While engineers and operators declare that the railway is capacity-constrained, tracks are empty most of the time.'

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Written by beleben

September 12, 2019 at 11:14 am

Posted in gibberish, HS2

One Response

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  1. Indeed Roade is a timing point just south of ‘Cats Cradle’ junction & then Hanslope cross-over A lot of those trains run via Northampton

    d9015

    September 12, 2019 at 3:25 pm


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