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Diminutive flows, enormous expenditure

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The use of generalised load factors on railways which serve multiple destinations ‘is not fit for purpose and doesn’t reflect the travel conditions that passengers actually experience’, according to page 13 of the High Speed Rail Industry Leaders Group report ‘Why Britain Needs HS2′.

But page 12 of the very same report includes a diagram, produced by Atkins in 2003, intended to support high speed rail. This shows Atkins’ forecast of the number of daily rail trips on north south routes in 2031 and, er, the generalised load factors.

HSRILG, Why HS2 report, July 2019, Figure 8

As for Atkins’ forecast of daily trips into Liverpool, Manchester, Birmingham and Leeds, the volumes are, in essence, chicken feed.  This might explain the Labour party’s opposition to HS2, until Andrew Adonis got involved.

Written by beleben

July 15, 2019 at 11:45 am

Posted in High speed rail, HS2

One Response

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  1. Wasn’t it Andrew Adonis who promoted the concept of HS2 in the first place ? I don’t think the Labour Party had even thought about it prior to his being Minister of Transport ?

    oldcobbleragain

    July 15, 2019 at 5:35 pm


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