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HS2 and aviation demand

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Last month, rail journalist Nick Kingsley asked why Greens are ‘opposed to having more trains between Scotland and Birmingham with a journey time that would all but kill the air market’.

twitter, @njak_100: 'So why are Greens opposed to having more trains running between Scotland and Birmingham/London with a journey time that will all but kill the air market? (and note: we don't need more travel overall to need more rail capacity!)'

A diagram published by the Financial Times might shine some light on the ineffectiveness of HS2 as a means of reducing air travel.

Financial Times graphic, Civil Aviation Authority, domestic and international air passengers

Written by beleben

April 16, 2019 at 2:57 pm

Posted in HS2

One Response

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  1. I’ve just done some quick back of the envelope calculations. Having checked the Civil Aviation Authority website there are 1.2m passengers flying Heathrow / Edinburgh annually (so 600,000 in each direction) and 234,000 flying Birmingham – Glasgow (117,000 in each direction).
    So, dividing this figure by the number of days in the year & the number of trains HS2 says it will run during the peak period you get the following “modal shift”
    Each HS2 train from Heathrow to Edinburgh would have 10 people on it, and Birmingham to Glasgow 2 people who otherwise would have flown!


    April 17, 2019 at 1:44 pm

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