beleben

die belebende Bedenkung

HS2 and London Midland commuting, part six

with one comment

According to the government, on the West Coast Main Line, the key commuter operator into London Euston – London Midland – has seen its passenger journeys grow by 7.9 per cent from 60.5 million to 65.3 million.

gov.uk, WCML demand and capacity pressures report, London Midland commuter growth

However, London Midland’s “65.3 million passenger journeys” were not “on the West Coast Main Line”. That figure applied to the entirety of the London Midland franchise, including its local routes around Birmingham (such as the Lichfield – Redditch ‘Cross City line’, etc).


orr-london-midland-key-stats-2010-2011-2014-2015

Unfortunately, this kind of misinformation and obfuscation can be found throughout the HS2 strategic case.

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Written by beleben

May 6, 2016 at 9:48 am

Posted in HS2, Railways

One Response

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  1. Considering the vast sums being expended on HS2’s PR, the statistical spin currently churned out is relative chickenfeed. Perhaps all they think they need do is hang on to that magical number of 1654 million (and growing). Wow, we could soon see, with projected growth, as many as 20 billion rail passenger journeys (over 10 years, of course – just keep rolling up those numbers). The 2014-15 figure of 1654 million passenger journeys equates to 4.5 million journeys per day, for the most part made up of 2 million going to work in the morning and 2 million returning home in the evening. Compare that to the 25-30 million cars, and growing, making similar there-and-back journeys, many to the stations to catch the train – and you have no comparison. You could of course make a comparison (how many million car journeys per year is that? – but car journeys are so much shorter, are they not?) but they are not daft at the DfT. As for London Midland, their 65 million passenger journeys, or 180,000 per day last on average a massive 36km (about the distance from Hemel Hempstead to Euston). This equates to 90,000 in the morning commute and similar on the return. This is equivalent to nine HS2 trains in the morning and again after work. They must be using the wrong trains but do not need ridiculously high speed versions. London’s Circle Line has just introduced the high capacity, mainly standing, trains which Hong Kong has used for years in moving people in and back to the suburbs.
    There is no doubt that everyone opposed to HS2 also hopes for a continually improving rail network. The current system is so disjointed and planning so piecemeal that it will never again run smoothly.

    mcMichael

    May 9, 2016 at 11:22 pm


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