die belebende Bedenkung

Dear imprudence

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In July 2014 Phillip Blond said bringing HS2 to Liverpool would cost between £1.5 bn and £2.5 bn. Now, his think tank says it would cost £3 bn.

Liverpool mayor, Joe Anderson, and the ‘chair’ of the transport select committee, Louise Ellman, have endorsed Ticket to Ride, a report for Phillip Blond’s thinktank Respublica, which puts the case for a “£3 billion” new high-speed rail link to Liverpool.

[Liverpool offers £2bn to be included in HS2 network, Gwyn Topham, The Guardian, 23 Feb 2016]

The plan would see a dedicated high-speed line linking Liverpool to the HS2 route north of Crewe, connecting to Manchester and its airport. The link would form the western point of a HS3 route of fast east-west links across the cities of the north.

The report puts the cost of extending HS2 to Liverpool at £3bn and says the city could cover two thirds of that sum through increased revenue in business rates and employment that the line would stimulate over several decades.

(£3 billion = about fifteen Library_of_Birminghams.)

Respublica HS2 into Liverpool, proposed route, Feb 2016

According to page 19 of the report, there are 1.05 million journeys ‘directly’ between Liverpool and Manchester each year. So, if the “£3 billion” costs of the Liverpool link were apportioned equally between HS2 and TransNorth ‘HS3’ travellers, with an interest rate of 1%, the cost per Manchester journey would be (£1.5 billion * 0.01) / 1.05 million = £14.28, before operating costs (and assuming the new line carried 100% of the current rail journeys).

The report also claims that “depending on the exact route followed by the new infrastructure”, it should be possible to achieve a journey time to Manchester Airport of around 15 minutes, and to Manchester city centre of around 20 minutes. But those figures look unachievable with Respublica’s favoured route (above).

So, just as might be expected, the Blond / Anderson / Volterra ‘Ticket to Ride’ proposal is 100% wack.

September 2015 Liverpool Echo story about Mayor Joe Anderson's support for an oddly sited new station in the city


Written by beleben

February 23, 2016 at 2:35 pm

Posted in HS2, Liverpool

One Response

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  1. […] Respublica’s Ticket to Ride report was commissioned by Liverpool mayor Joe Anderson. Does that mean that its costs were met […]

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