beleben

die belebende Bedenkung

Pulling long-distance trains out of the equation

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There are three types of traffic on the West Coast main line (WCML) – long-distance, commuter and freight. HS2 “will pull the long-distance out of the equation and leave the other two to run on the current line”, wrote Rail Engineer’s Nigel Wordsworth.

[NW:] Removing the long-distance traffic will allow commuter and freight trains to run on all four lines of the WCML, hence increasing their capacity as well.

According to HS2 Ltd’s Andrew McNaughton’s diagram of services in 2014, the West Coast Main Line fast lines did not host any ‘dedicated’ peak commuter trains, apart from one train to Northampton.

West Coast Main Line fast line peak utilsation, 2014 (Andrew McNaughton)

West Coast Main Line fast line peak hour utilsation, 2014 (Andrew McNaughton)

Could HS2 “pull the long-distance out of the equation”? Below is Andrew McNaughton’s visualisation of West Coast fast line services with HS2 in operation.

West Coast fast line peak hour service visualisation (Andrew McNaughton)

Furure (with-HS2) West Coast fast line peak hour service visualisation (Andrew McNaughton). Note the “transformational improvement” in commuter service to Wembley, Hemel, etc.

It is not possible for HS2 to replace West Coast long distance services, without breaking connectivity for non-HS2 towns (the vast majority). The Economic Case and HS2’s stated objectives are not reconcilable.

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Written by beleben

November 10, 2015 at 2:40 pm

Posted in HS2

One Response

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  1. So what happens if the long distance trains are replaced by commuter trains? Are the long distance trains effectively returned? And who subsidises the new commuter trains? Is the cost saving lost?
    Non-rhetorical questions, if anyone would care to answer.

    Mike

    November 11, 2015 at 12:25 am


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