die belebende Bedenkung

HS2 and population

with one comment

Britain’s fastest growing cities are all in the south, and its shrinking ones all in the north, wrote Citymetric’s Jonn Elledge (14 Aug 2015).


The main point to notice is that only one of Britain’s boom towns is above the line from the Bristol Channel to the Wash: that’s Telford, in the Midlands. All of the others are pretty comfortably within London’s orbit.

And as can be seen from SLC Rail’s regional population trends table (below), population growth in London and the South East is expected to be considerably higher than in the West Midlands and North West.

SLC Rail: UK regional population trends

SLC Rail: UK regional population trends

Contrary to the impression given by HS2 ‘blobbyists’, the primary need for additional rail capacity is going to be in the south east of England. Spending £56+ billion on 560-odd kilometres of HS2 track to Manchester and Leeds makes no sense in capacity terms, and is bound to crowd out improvements for places where capacity is actually needed.

Written by beleben

August 17, 2015 at 10:24 am

One Response

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  1. Indeed a key link would appear to be the Barking – Abbey Wood link for Overground, linking via Barking Riverside (urgently needing a rail connection if it is to develop without seizing up the Roads locally) Thamesmead (where this mistake has already been made and can be recovered).

    The connection at Abbey Wood will enable trapped commuters to by pass any blockages that happen on London Bridge routes, and facilitate long weekend (or longer) blockades, which will enable work to be done with bigger windows of useable work time, and reduce the induced failures of signalling etc from the short and pressurised overnight and short weekend blockades, making and breaking connections.

    A few other contingency/flexibility connections will also enable long blockades of WCML between Watford and Rugby (Nuneaton), and electric traction routes for minimal additional route miles. BLY-BDM for example might be possible without any new 25KV feeder points. Likewise COV-NUN wires offers a way to divert RUG-NUN for blockades. BLY-BDM-NUN-(BHM) also available currently as a blockade busting option for diesel and makes a key part or MML electrification to deliver (BDM-LEI).

    Dave H (@BCCletts)

    August 23, 2015 at 9:00 pm

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