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With HS2, ‘getting to Ceredigion would be quicker’

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Figure 12 of the 2013 HS2 Strategic Case purported to show “illustrative journey time comparisons for HS2 Phase One and Two and rail alternative”.

HS2 Strategic Case  'Illustrative journey time comparisons for HS2 Phase One and Two and rail alternative'

With HS2, journey times from London to Ceredigion would fall from “between 4 and 5 hours” to “between 3 and 4 hours” according to HS2’s Illustrative journey time comparisons for HS2 Phase One and Two and rail alternative

Needless to say, Figure 12 is mostly nonsense. The idea that building HS2 would bring the journey time from London to Worcester into the “within 1 hour” range (coloured green on the diagram), for example, is plainly daft.

Was the same data set used to create KPMG’s infamous “£15 billion regional economic impacts” analysis, by any chance?

One might also ask why these bogus comparisons always seem to involve London as one end of the journey.


Written by beleben

January 20, 2015 at 9:19 pm

Posted in High speed rail, HS2

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2 Responses

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  1. HS2 reopening the Paddy Line then? Otherwise seems only to make slight improvement to parts of Borders where hardly anyone lives. Existing system with tilting trains delivers sub 4 hours to key entry points for Central Scotland, already. So what does Scotland get for the £3000/head (

    Remove 2 major (ie <30mph) slacks from WCML and 3 from ECML* and you'll be close to 3hr with existing trains. *Will crucially require bypassing NCL & station in Tyne Yard or Heaton

    Deliver the 140mph clearance on WCML and ECML (could be done for test run now I believe – as ECML has had 160mph running for BR trials) and a 3 hr London-Glasgow/Edinburgh run deliverable as normal service in say 5 years? (with good connections to rest of network)

    Dave H (@BCCletts)

    January 21, 2015 at 1:12 am

  2. I wrote to the DfT about these ridiculous and misleading maps shortly after publication. I received a reply which explained ( I think) that the maps do not show total travel time, but only the time spent on rail in a modelled multi-modal journey. In other words, if you were to spend 45 minutes driving to an HS2 station, and then spend 59 minutes on the train to London, your starting location would be considered to be within an hour of London for these maps.

    And they wonder why they can’t build support for HS2…..


    January 21, 2015 at 12:40 pm

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