beleben

die belebende Bedenkung

The misinformation blizzard

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Roger Harrison‘s remarks about HS2 ‘return on investment’ (benefit-cost?) illustrate the HS2 blob’s propensity to simply make up numbers and ‘facts’. The recently-established High Speed Rail Liverpool campaign — apparently run by PR firm Kenyon Fraser with public cash from Merseyside councils — provides many examples of the phenomenon.

According to High Speed Rail Liverpool website FAQ, the coalition government says that its current plan for HS2

“…will greatly increase capacity. It will treble the number of seats on trains into Euston and almost double the number of trains per hour on the West Coast Main Line.”

High Speed Rail Liverpool false claims

Two of many false claims repeated by the publicly-funded High Speed Rail Liverpool campaign

Which of course, is complete nonsense. The government actually claims that HS2 is needed because it’s ‘not possible’ to ‘almost double’ the number of trains per hour on the West Coast Main Line.

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Written by beleben

July 30, 2014 at 1:20 pm

Posted in High speed rail, HS2, Liverpool

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  1. The Liverpool campaign is an example of cost escalation (as per the argument of Richard Wellings at the IEA think tank). It makes sense for the council to argue “If £50bn of taxpayers’ money is being spent on a nice new line to Manchester, then we want one as well”. Hence £50bn becomes £60bn and so on.

    As for the other claims – “The new railway will treble the number of seats into Euston” and “almost double the number of trains on the WCML”, these may not be all that untrue.

    Currently, the WCML operates at 43% efficiency (for passenger trains) – i.e. up to 15 trains per hour leave Euston vs. a theoretical maximum of 35 (20 on the fast tracks; 15 on the slow).

    If the freight trains were re-directed away from the WCML, the number of trains per hour could be (almost) doubled. If, in addition, all Inter-City trains were extended to 16 coaches (with splitting at Rugby or Crewe), the number of seats could likely be trebled.

    The passenger capacity can be increased by re-opening closed lines for freight trains as a small fraction of the cost of HS2.

    richie40

    July 31, 2014 at 11:16 am


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