beleben

die belebende Bedenkung

Y the huge overcapacity?

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@bridges_tom on the 'huge demand for rail travel between Leeds and Birmingham'

All-day demand for rail travel between Leeds and Birmingham in 2033 was forecast (by MVA for HS2 Ltd) not to fill even one HS2 train

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Written by beleben

March 31, 2014 at 9:04 pm

One Response

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  1. Leeds-Sheffield figure – how is that arrived at? By observation the trains are heaving at peak times as this is a major commuter route where using the train with a WY Metrocard from Wakefield (to cover bus because Leeds City Station is long walk from anywhere a commuter wants to be. This of course gives an artificial picture, as the late Gordon Selway highlighted when trying to make a case for commuting services from Bromsgrove to Birmingham, as many trips made using Centro travelcards did not show up in unweighted ticket sales modelling, and the weighting factors were open to challenge.

    Nottingham and Birmingham figures are nested with the Leeds-Sheffield but the peak demand may well be offset from the Sheffield numbers. Really must spend a bit of time looking at that model as it obviously has major impact in how loadings can be spread on a cross-country route. Returning to Birmingham, the issues delivered by using one service for a mis-matched bundle of uses shows up when commuters pile on to travel Leicester or Cheltenham to Birmingham and try to use the same space with users of Stansted Airport and holidaymakers heading for Cornwall.

    Something shouts out those figures are not the real picture.

    Dave H (@BCCletts)

    April 1, 2014 at 10:57 am


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