Observations on HS2 load factor, part two
According to HS2 Ltd
in 2043 approximately 136,000 passengers would travel on HS2 each day (46.2 million each year) on the section between Birmingham Interchange and Old Oak Common
and the company says eighteen 1,100-passenger trains could run in each direction in an hour. So, on the busiest section of the Y network, quotidian (14-hours) seat utilisation would be (136000 / 2) / (1100 * 18 * 14) = 25%.
On the spurs, and legs north of Birmingham, the figure would be even lower.